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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.75+0.80vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-0.04vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.17-0.21vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.02+0.60vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.19vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-3.42vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-3.19vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.67-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Tufts University2.750.3%1st Place
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2.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
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3.79Tufts University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.6Northeastern University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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3.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.2%1st Place
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4.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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4.46Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 27.8% | 22.8% | 17.8% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 22.4% | 22.1% | 21.1% | 16.5% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Patterson | 13.4% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 19.8% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 16.7% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 23.7% | 21.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.