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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.13+3.57vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.32+3.13vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.19+0.98vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+1.53vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.00vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.57-0.39vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.27-3.44vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.44-2.77vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-1.31-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.82-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57Columbia University-0.1313.0%1st Place
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5.13Princeton University-0.329.2%1st Place
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3.98Washington College0.1917.2%1st Place
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5.53Rochester Institute of Technology-0.488.3%1st Place
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6.0SUNY Stony Brook-0.608.0%1st Place
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5.61Princeton University-0.578.2%1st Place
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3.56Princeton University0.2720.4%1st Place
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5.23Monmouth University-0.449.4%1st Place
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7.24Villanova University-1.314.0%1st Place
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8.16University of Delaware-1.822.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chase O'Malley | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
Carly Mraz | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
Joseph Bonacci | 17.2% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
Ashley Franklin | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 9.5% |
William Roberts | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 5.6% |
Jasper Waldman | 20.4% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Patrick Cashin | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
Julia Priebke | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 21.6% | 22.4% |
Tamryn Whyte | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.