← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Chase O'Malley 13.0% 12.3% 13.1% 13.4% 11.5% 11.6% 9.8% 8.5% 5.5% 1.4%
Carly Mraz 9.2% 10.3% 11.9% 11.8% 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 11.5% 7.3% 4.0%
Joseph Bonacci 17.2% 16.3% 14.5% 13.2% 11.8% 9.5% 7.8% 5.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Ashley Franklin 8.3% 9.7% 8.6% 10.3% 10.9% 10.8% 13.4% 11.4% 11.1% 5.5%
Rose von Eckartsberg 8.0% 7.9% 7.4% 8.9% 8.2% 10.3% 12.1% 13.4% 14.3% 9.5%
William Roberts 8.2% 8.3% 9.5% 9.3% 11.3% 11.8% 11.5% 13.4% 11.1% 5.6%
Jasper Waldman 20.4% 18.9% 15.8% 13.4% 11.4% 8.6% 6.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5%
Patrick Cashin 9.4% 10.2% 11.2% 10.3% 11.4% 12.6% 11.2% 10.8% 8.9% 4.1%
Julia Priebke 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 10.4% 13.0% 21.6% 22.4%
Tamryn Whyte 2.1% 2.4% 3.7% 3.2% 5.0% 5.5% 6.8% 9.4% 15.5% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.