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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+2.64vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.19+1.95vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+1.57vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.32+1.08vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.44+0.31vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.57-0.39vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-1.31+0.23vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.82-0.86vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Princeton University0.2720.1%1st Place
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3.95Washington College0.1917.4%1st Place
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4.57Columbia University-0.1312.3%1st Place
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5.08Princeton University-0.329.7%1st Place
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5.31Monmouth University-0.4410.2%1st Place
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5.61Princeton University-0.577.5%1st Place
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7.23Villanova University-1.314.7%1st Place
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5.99SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Delaware-1.822.5%1st Place
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5.49Rochester Institute of Technology-0.488.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Waldman | 20.1% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Carly Mraz | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Cashin | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| William Roberts | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 5.9% |
| Julia Priebke | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 23.7% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 8.8% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 46.7% |
| Ashley Franklin | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.