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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+4.63vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.63+6.79vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+6.55vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+2.94vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.43vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+2.54vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.24vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-0.10vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.16+1.75vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-3.05vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.12-4.09vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.32+1.22vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.42vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.48-1.05vs Predicted
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16Tufts University4.08-8.26vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.23-5.63vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.05Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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10.55Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.54College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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11.75Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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14.22Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.58SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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13.95Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.37Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Mac Mace | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Raul Rios | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Ian Paice | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 32.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.4% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 26.5% |
| William Haeger | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Rice | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.