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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.19+3.04vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+3.44vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.32+2.00vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.27-0.42vs Predicted
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5Columbia University-0.13-0.33vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.44-0.77vs Predicted
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7Villanova University-1.31+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.82+0.14vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.57-3.31vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Washington College0.1916.6%1st Place
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5.44Rochester Institute of Technology-0.488.0%1st Place
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5.0Princeton University-0.3210.8%1st Place
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3.58Princeton University0.2720.2%1st Place
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4.67Columbia University-0.1313.3%1st Place
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5.23Monmouth University-0.449.2%1st Place
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7.06Villanova University-1.314.3%1st Place
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8.14University of Delaware-1.822.5%1st Place
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5.69Princeton University-0.578.2%1st Place
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6.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.607.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Bonacci | 16.6% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Franklin | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| Carly Mraz | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Jasper Waldman | 20.2% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Chase O'Malley | 13.3% | 10.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Cashin | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Julia Priebke | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 19.8% | 21.1% |
| Tamryn Whyte | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.5% | 46.7% |
| William Roberts | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 6.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.