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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+6.99vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+8.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+6.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+4.36vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+1.40vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.89vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.62vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.55+4.47vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+3.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-2.41vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.61vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-4.99vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.89-6.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.00-3.28vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.88-7.77vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.83-8.55vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.47Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.4Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.89Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.62SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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13.7Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.72Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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12.48Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| William Hutchings | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Michael Grove | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 16.1% | 22.4% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 26.1% |
| Philip Crain | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% |
| Alex Cook | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.