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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.27+2.54vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.19+1.88vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13+1.63vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.32+1.13vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.57+0.57vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.44-0.76vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-1.59vs Predicted
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8Villanova University-1.31-0.71vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-2.81vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.82-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Princeton University0.2720.4%1st Place
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3.88Washington College0.1917.5%1st Place
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4.63Columbia University-0.1312.3%1st Place
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5.13Princeton University-0.3210.3%1st Place
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5.57Princeton University-0.578.6%1st Place
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5.24Monmouth University-0.4410.4%1st Place
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5.41Rochester Institute of Technology-0.488.6%1st Place
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7.29Villanova University-1.313.5%1st Place
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6.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.606.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Delaware-1.822.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Jasper Waldman | 20.4% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Joseph Bonacci | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Chase O'Malley | 12.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
Carly Mraz | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 3.5% |
William Roberts | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
Patrick Cashin | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 3.6% |
Ashley Franklin | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
Julia Priebke | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 21.1% | 23.7% |
Rose von Eckartsberg | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 9.6% |
Tamryn Whyte | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.