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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+11.77vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+6.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+3.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+4.00vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.81vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+5.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.54+6.52vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82+0.33vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-0.90vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.70vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-2.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.55+1.73vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-4.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.33vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.83-6.68vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.05-4.33vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.95-9.03vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.37-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.77Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.0%1st Place
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6.56Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.8Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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13.52Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.1Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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13.73University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.34Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.97College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 15.7% |
| Philip Crain | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 22.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Cook | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 26.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Grove | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
| Ben Spector | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.