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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+8.20vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.70vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.70vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+4.23vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.55+8.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82+1.39vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.95-0.26vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.88-0.95vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-3.32vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54+2.61vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.66vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-5.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-2.47vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-4.78vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.89-7.87vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-4.13vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.88-10.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.2U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.23Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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11.6SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.74College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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13.61Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.53Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.87Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.93Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Grove | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Philip Crain | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 14.6% | 24.0% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Ben Spector | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Alex Cook | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 24.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.8% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 16.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.