Race 10A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Bonacci 17.0% 14.5% 16.5% 14.1% 11.9% 10.1% 7.0% 5.4% 2.8% 0.8%
Carly Mraz 11.1% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 11.3% 11.7% 12.7% 10.1% 8.5% 3.4%
William Roberts 7.6% 9.0% 10.9% 9.9% 9.7% 10.7% 12.0% 12.0% 11.5% 6.7%
Patrick Cashin 8.8% 11.2% 11.7% 9.9% 13.2% 11.7% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 3.6%
Ashley Franklin 9.0% 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 12.7% 11.9% 11.1% 11.5% 9.0% 5.0%
Jasper Waldman 20.2% 18.9% 15.5% 14.9% 10.8% 8.0% 5.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7%
Chase O'Malley 13.4% 13.1% 11.5% 12.3% 11.9% 11.5% 10.2% 8.4% 5.5% 2.3%
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.3% 7.1% 7.3% 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 12.3% 15.1% 14.8% 8.6%
Julia Priebke 3.0% 5.1% 3.5% 5.6% 5.6% 9.3% 10.6% 14.1% 19.7% 23.5%
Tamryn Whyte 2.5% 1.9% 3.2% 2.6% 4.0% 5.5% 6.6% 9.9% 18.3% 45.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.