Race 11A

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Carly Mraz 9.7% 10.8% 11.2% 11.4% 11.0% 11.7% 12.6% 10.2% 7.7% 3.9%
Jasper Waldman 20.9% 17.8% 16.1% 13.4% 11.8% 8.2% 5.7% 4.1% 1.7% 0.2%
Chase O'Malley 12.7% 14.2% 12.6% 12.7% 12.3% 11.2% 9.6% 8.0% 5.2% 1.5%
Joseph Bonacci 16.4% 16.3% 15.1% 13.2% 12.0% 9.9% 7.3% 5.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Patrick Cashin 10.3% 9.4% 10.4% 10.7% 11.6% 12.0% 11.8% 11.8% 8.2% 3.9%
William Roberts 6.6% 8.2% 8.7% 11.5% 10.0% 10.0% 13.1% 13.9% 11.6% 6.6%
Ashley Franklin 9.2% 8.3% 10.5% 10.0% 10.8% 12.8% 12.1% 10.9% 9.5% 5.9%
Rose von Eckartsberg 7.3% 7.4% 7.0% 9.3% 9.2% 11.6% 12.2% 13.5% 13.5% 9.0%
Julia Priebke 4.3% 4.3% 5.3% 4.4% 6.8% 7.3% 9.3% 12.3% 22.1% 23.6%
Tamryn Whyte 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 5.3% 6.5% 9.4% 17.2% 44.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.