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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+5.70vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+9.88vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.63vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.83+4.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.88+3.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+2.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.37+3.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.93vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.08vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.79-1.24vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.95-3.08vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.55+1.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.88-5.02vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-0.83vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.95-7.20vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.89-7.91vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-4.17vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.00-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.88SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.11Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.76Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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7.98Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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13.17Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.83Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.6Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nick Valente | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Philip Crain | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| William Hutchings | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Michael Grove | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Ben Spector | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 28.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 21.1% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 15.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.