← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University-0.28+2.60vs Predicted
-
2Washington College-0.68+2.16vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University-0.27+0.58vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University-0.79+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-1.48vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.97-1.14vs Predicted
-
7Villanova University-2.00-0.13vs Predicted
-
8Monmouth University-2.93+0.40vs Predicted
-
9University of Delaware-2.34-1.62vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Stony Brook-2.76-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.6Princeton University-0.2818.4%1st Place
-
4.16Washington College-0.6813.5%1st Place
-
3.58Columbia University-0.2719.1%1st Place
-
4.46Princeton University-0.7912.1%1st Place
-
3.52Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6419.4%1st Place
-
4.86Princeton University-0.978.8%1st Place
-
6.87Villanova University-2.003.1%1st Place
-
8.4Monmouth University-2.931.1%1st Place
-
7.38University of Delaware-2.343.0%1st Place
-
8.17SUNY Stony Brook-2.761.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Richard Kertatos | 18.4% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Hartley Meyer | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
Alexander Yuen | 19.1% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Bracklinn Williams | 12.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
Kayla Maguire | 19.4% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Evelyn Walsh | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
Ella Kilgore | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 18.2% | 9.0% |
Joseph Bitterman | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 24.5% | 39.2% |
Phillip Furlong | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 22.9% | 16.7% |
Hannah Forcone | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 15.8% | 24.1% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.