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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+7.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.30+4.61vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+5.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.55+9.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+3.04vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+2.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.88+1.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+2.24vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.03vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.95-1.98vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.79-2.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.62vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-4.81vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.05-2.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-1.50vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-4.13vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-4.17vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.95-10.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.52Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.29University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.04Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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10.24Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.64Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.25SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.87Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.83Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 22.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Alex Cook | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Ben Spector | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Michael Grove | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 7.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 22.9% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 17.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.