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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.27+2.60vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.28+1.65vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.79+1.49vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-0.43vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.68-0.98vs Predicted
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6Villanova University-2.00+0.80vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97-2.16vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-2.93+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.34-1.53vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-2.76-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Columbia University-0.2717.9%1st Place
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3.65Princeton University-0.2818.2%1st Place
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4.49Princeton University-0.7911.5%1st Place
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3.57Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6418.2%1st Place
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4.02Washington College-0.6814.9%1st Place
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6.8Villanova University-2.004.3%1st Place
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4.84Princeton University-0.979.8%1st Place
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8.36Monmouth University-2.931.5%1st Place
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7.47University of Delaware-2.342.2%1st Place
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8.19SUNY Stony Brook-2.761.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Alexander Yuen | 17.9% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Richard Kertatos | 18.2% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Bracklinn Williams | 11.5% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Kayla Maguire | 18.2% | 18.5% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Hartley Meyer | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Ella Kilgore | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 10.2% |
Evelyn Walsh | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
Joseph Bitterman | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 22.6% | 40.6% |
Phillip Furlong | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 26.2% | 15.8% |
Hannah Forcone | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 25.4% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.