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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+7.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.37+8.51vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+5.71vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.88+4.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+5.82vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.55+6.44vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89+0.01vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.95-1.23vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.83-1.37vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.54+2.60vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-3.52vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.77-0.51vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-5.82vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.95-7.22vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-7.91vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.30-10.41vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.55Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.51Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.82Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.01Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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13.6Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.48Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.49Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.59Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.42SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| William Hutchings | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% |
| Philip Crain | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Alex Cook | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Michael Grove | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% |
| Steven Pelissier | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 18.0% | 21.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 25.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 14.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Ben Spector | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.