Race 4B

delaware-river-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Richard Kertatos 19.0% 16.2% 14.8% 16.1% 13.1% 9.6% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.1%
Alexander Yuen 18.2% 18.1% 17.5% 14.2% 12.4% 9.6% 6.4% 3.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Hartley Meyer 14.8% 14.4% 15.3% 14.0% 14.1% 11.9% 9.2% 4.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Bracklinn Williams 10.8% 12.1% 13.2% 13.4% 15.0% 14.9% 11.2% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7%
Kayla Maguire 19.1% 19.1% 17.2% 15.1% 12.4% 9.6% 4.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Evelyn Walsh 9.4% 10.0% 9.7% 12.8% 14.1% 16.3% 13.9% 9.2% 3.9% 0.8%
Ian Kaplan 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 3.4% 5.0% 7.1% 12.6% 21.3% 23.4% 18.8%
Hannah Forcone 1.2% 1.7% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 5.8% 8.6% 16.6% 24.1% 32.9%
Joseph Bitterman 1.2% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 5.2% 9.6% 14.1% 23.7% 37.1%
Ella Kilgore 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 5.8% 6.8% 10.1% 17.4% 19.1% 19.2% 9.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.