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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.44+1.29vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.18vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-0.45+0.29vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01+0.23vs Predicted
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5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.25+0.79vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.38-1.37vs Predicted
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7Mercyhurst University-2.11-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Queen's University0.4433.0%1st Place
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2.18Rochester Institute of Technology0.4934.5%1st Place
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3.29Penn State Behrend-0.4514.4%1st Place
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4.23Penn State University-1.017.7%1st Place
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5.79Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.252.2%1st Place
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4.63Syracuse University-1.385.9%1st Place
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5.6Mercyhurst University-2.112.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Pirie | 33.0% | 28.9% | 21.8% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Cole Bender | 34.5% | 31.4% | 20.8% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 14.4% | 16.8% | 24.5% | 22.7% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 23.3% | 22.8% | 17.2% | 6.8% |
| Isabel Allerheiligen | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 14.5% | 24.8% | 43.9% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 5.9% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 17.2% | 25.4% | 22.3% | 11.6% |
| Tabea Wieland | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 27.9% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.