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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.50+5.06vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.80+4.65vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61-0.46vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.83+0.17vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50-0.04vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.95vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.76-2.82vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.51-5.27vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.61-2.25vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.65University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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3.54College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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5.17Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.05St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.18Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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3.73Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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7.75University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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10.62Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Pryne | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 7.4% | 0.9% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 28.3% | 5.0% |
| Allison Blecher | 20.4% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 0.6% |
| Megan Magill | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Roble | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Sydney Bolger | 18.6% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christine Porter | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 29.6% | 6.2% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.