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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.17+2.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+2.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.75-0.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.30-0.40vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.02+0.60vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-2.97vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.67-2.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.65-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Tufts University2.170.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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2.87Tufts University2.750.2%1st Place
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3.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.300.2%1st Place
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5.6Northeastern University1.020.0%1st Place
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3.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
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4.41Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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3.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.650.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Patterson | 15.7% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 22.5% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 23.4% | 23.9% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Tevis Nichols | 16.4% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean McMullen | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 23.8% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 21.9% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Steven Drapcho | 23.8% | 20.6% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.