Race 5B

delaware-river-dinghy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Yuen 17.8% 16.7% 17.4% 14.0% 14.3% 10.6% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Hartley Meyer 14.4% 13.8% 15.0% 13.9% 14.8% 12.1% 9.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
Richard Kertatos 19.1% 18.5% 15.8% 14.3% 12.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Kayla Maguire 18.6% 18.6% 16.2% 14.6% 14.2% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Bracklinn Williams 11.5% 12.6% 11.6% 14.6% 14.1% 14.9% 11.6% 6.6% 2.0% 0.5%
Evelyn Walsh 9.2% 10.2% 11.8% 13.1% 12.4% 16.4% 13.4% 8.9% 3.2% 1.1%
Ella Kilgore 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 6.2% 7.1% 9.7% 16.9% 20.7% 17.8% 8.5%
Hannah Forcone 2.3% 1.5% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 5.4% 9.7% 15.3% 26.5% 30.5%
Joseph Bitterman 1.2% 1.0% 2.0% 2.5% 2.7% 3.6% 8.6% 15.8% 23.4% 39.1%
Ian Kaplan 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 4.5% 8.0% 12.6% 20.3% 23.7% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.