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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+7.69vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+11.80vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+5.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.30+2.35vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.82+3.28vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+2.12vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.37+2.20vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-0.99vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.95-1.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-2.77vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-3.68vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.54vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-0.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.09vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-7.47vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.77-4.12vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.00-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.28Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.2Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.01Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.46SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.2Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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12.88Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.59Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Crain | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Steven Pelissier | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 24.8% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Alex Cook | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| William Hutchings | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Ben Spector | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 22.7% |
| Michael Grove | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 16.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.