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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.79+3.41vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.27+1.63vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.28+0.61vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.68+0.10vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-1.47vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.97-1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.43+0.54vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-2.76+0.12vs Predicted
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9Villanova University-2.00-2.20vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-2.93-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Princeton University-0.7911.3%1st Place
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3.63Columbia University-0.2717.6%1st Place
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3.61Princeton University-0.2818.0%1st Place
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4.1Washington College-0.6814.6%1st Place
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3.53Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6419.1%1st Place
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4.81Princeton University-0.9710.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Delaware-2.432.7%1st Place
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8.12SUNY Stony Brook-2.761.3%1st Place
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6.8Villanova University-2.004.2%1st Place
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8.46Monmouth University-2.931.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bracklinn Williams | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
Alexander Yuen | 17.6% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Richard Kertatos | 18.0% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Hartley Meyer | 14.6% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Kayla Maguire | 19.1% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Evelyn Walsh | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
Ian Kaplan | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 24.6% | 19.4% |
Hannah Forcone | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 25.8% | 30.0% |
Ella Kilgore | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 8.6% |
Joseph Bitterman | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 14.5% | 24.0% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.