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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University4.30+5.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.88+6.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.89vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+3.99vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.00+6.29vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.56vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.59+6.03vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.83-0.07vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.95-1.58vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+3.46vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.80-2.72vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.41vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.46vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-6.14vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.55-1.84vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-3.54vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-5.63vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.37-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.99Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.03Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.42College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.28Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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13.16University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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12.46Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.37SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Fink | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alex Cook | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Grove | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| William Macdonald | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 18.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 22.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Philip Crain | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 18.9% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 12.7% |
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.