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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+9.15vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.23vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.55+10.41vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.59+8.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+3.14vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+2.15vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.88-0.31vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77+3.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.83-2.81vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.43vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.95-5.56vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.54-1.12vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.79-6.85vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-8.25vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.00-5.37vs Predicted
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18Brown University4.30-12.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.41University of Vermont2.550.0%1st Place
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12.89Connecticut College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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7.47Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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12.35Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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11.57SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.44College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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12.88Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.63Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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6.0Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Steven Pelissier | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 21.5% |
| Ellis Tonissi | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 20.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Philip Crain | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Alex Cook | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Howes | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.6% |
| Michael Grove | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Nick Valente | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% |
| Ben Spector | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 18.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.