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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+1.10vs Predicted
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2Washington College-0.68+2.48vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+0.88vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.27-0.02vs Predicted
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5Villanova University-1.01+0.30vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.97-0.84vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.30-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.34-0.39vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University-2.93-0.55vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-2.76-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Princeton University0.8444.2%1st Place
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4.48Washington College-0.688.9%1st Place
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3.88Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6413.5%1st Place
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3.98Columbia University-0.2713.4%1st Place
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5.3Villanova University-1.015.2%1st Place
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5.16Princeton University-0.976.5%1st Place
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5.76Princeton University-1.305.1%1st Place
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7.61University of Delaware-2.341.4%1st Place
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8.45Monmouth University-2.930.7%1st Place
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8.27SUNY Stony Brook-2.761.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 44.2% | 25.1% | 15.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 8.9% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Kayla Maguire | 13.5% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Yuen | 13.4% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Joe Cooner | 5.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Phillip Furlong | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 22.4% | 25.3% | 18.4% |
| Joseph Bitterman | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 13.2% | 24.3% | 41.0% |
| Hannah Forcone | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 15.4% | 26.7% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.