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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.11vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+10.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+7.30vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+2.71vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.12vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.29+5.96vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+3.70vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+0.86vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.71vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.45vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.15vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.16vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.35-5.74vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.65vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.50-8.22vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-6.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-4.64vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-6.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.3Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.71Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.96Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.7Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.86University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.84U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.26Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.37Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.15Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 13.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Haley Powell | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 17.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.