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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College-0.68+3.29vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.84+0.09vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.27+0.97vs Predicted
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4Villanova University-1.01+1.30vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-1.14vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-2.76+2.26vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.34-0.30vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.30-3.15vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-2.93-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29Washington College-0.6811.5%1st Place
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2.09Princeton University0.8444.0%1st Place
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3.97Columbia University-0.2711.2%1st Place
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5.3Villanova University-1.015.6%1st Place
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3.86Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6412.6%1st Place
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8.26SUNY Stony Brook-2.761.2%1st Place
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5.22Princeton University-0.977.4%1st Place
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7.7University of Delaware-2.341.4%1st Place
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5.85Princeton University-1.304.2%1st Place
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8.46Monmouth University-2.930.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hartley Meyer | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Asher Green | 44.0% | 25.8% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alexander Yuen | 11.2% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Joe Cooner | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
Kayla Maguire | 12.6% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Hannah Forcone | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 16.6% | 26.0% | 33.4% |
Evelyn Walsh | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
Phillip Furlong | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 27.0% | 19.4% |
Johnny Leadingham | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 8.1% | 2.4% |
Joseph Bitterman | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 24.6% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.