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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hartley Meyer 11.5% 13.0% 14.5% 17.0% 13.5% 13.2% 9.3% 4.8% 2.5% 0.7%
Asher Green 44.0% 25.8% 15.8% 8.8% 3.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Yuen 11.2% 15.6% 18.4% 16.7% 14.7% 10.8% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Joe Cooner 5.6% 8.5% 9.8% 11.8% 13.9% 16.4% 16.1% 12.4% 4.8% 0.9%
Kayla Maguire 12.6% 17.5% 17.3% 15.0% 15.4% 11.3% 6.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Hannah Forcone 1.2% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.1% 7.6% 16.6% 26.0% 33.4%
Evelyn Walsh 7.4% 7.7% 10.8% 11.8% 13.4% 15.8% 15.6% 11.2% 5.1% 1.5%
Phillip Furlong 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 5.4% 7.8% 10.5% 19.4% 27.0% 19.4%
Johnny Leadingham 4.2% 7.1% 6.4% 9.6% 12.8% 13.4% 19.6% 16.4% 8.1% 2.4%
Joseph Bitterman 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 6.6% 12.8% 24.6% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.