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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.74+9.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.98vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.58+8.05vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+2.74vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.35+2.41vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81+3.70vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.91+2.28vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.22vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-2.88vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-2.73vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.82-1.95vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.50-6.32vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-6.11vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-3.70vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.11vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.29-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.25Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.05Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.74Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.41Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.05Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.04Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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12.3University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.76Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Haley Powell | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 14.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.