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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.84+1.08vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.27+1.93vs Predicted
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3Villanova University-1.01+2.32vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-2.93+4.50vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-2.34+2.55vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64-2.13vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-2.76+1.32vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-1.30-2.22vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.97-3.85vs Predicted
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10Washington College-0.68-5.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.08Princeton University0.8443.4%1st Place
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3.93Columbia University-0.2712.4%1st Place
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5.32Villanova University-1.016.2%1st Place
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8.5Monmouth University-2.930.9%1st Place
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7.55University of Delaware-2.342.1%1st Place
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3.87Rochester Institute of Technology-0.6413.8%1st Place
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8.32SUNY Stony Brook-2.761.3%1st Place
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5.78Princeton University-1.304.9%1st Place
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5.15Princeton University-0.976.9%1st Place
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4.51Washington College-0.688.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Asher Green | 43.4% | 27.8% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Alexander Yuen | 12.4% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Joe Cooner | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
Joseph Bitterman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 13.6% | 25.9% | 40.5% |
Phillip Furlong | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 23.9% | 18.9% |
Kayla Maguire | 13.8% | 14.8% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Hannah Forcone | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 14.7% | 28.1% | 34.9% |
Johnny Leadingham | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 8.6% | 2.6% |
Evelyn Walsh | 6.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
Hartley Meyer | 8.1% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.