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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.13vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.91+7.54vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+7.02vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+6.59vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43+6.22vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+0.79vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.14vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.65vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.29+3.04vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.24vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-4.04vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-4.26vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-3.10vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.82-4.65vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-2.84vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.92-6.69vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.86vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.54Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.02Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.22Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.79Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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12.04Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.74Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.35Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.56Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 12.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 13.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 16.7% |
| Haley Powell | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.