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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+6.03vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+9.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+5.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+2.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.93vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43+5.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.65vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+1.17vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.76vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.10vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29+0.28vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-0.98vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-4.29vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.35-7.65vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-6.66vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.43vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.82-8.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.0Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.77Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.41Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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12.28Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.02University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.35Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.34Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.45Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Haley Powell | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 13.0% | 17.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 14.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.