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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.70+2.30vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.66+0.04vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.12+1.44vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-0.49+1.09vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.56+0.18vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.21-1.81vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.39-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3University of Wisconsin0.7015.8%1st Place
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2.04Northwestern University1.6644.0%1st Place
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4.44Marquette University-0.128.5%1st Place
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5.09Ohio State University-0.495.3%1st Place
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5.18Purdue University-0.564.8%1st Place
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4.19Michigan State University0.218.3%1st Place
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3.76University of Michigan0.3913.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Castellini | 15.8% | 20.4% | 21.0% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.5% |
| Delaney Smith | 44.0% | 27.5% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Kozal | 8.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 16.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 23.1% | 29.6% |
| Camille Imbler | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 32.1% |
| Dominique DeLano | 8.3% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 15.4% | 11.1% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 13.3% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.