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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+6.03vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+7.54vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+4.64vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+5.64vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43+6.24vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+0.90vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.82+2.69vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+3.65vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.99-0.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.52vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.14vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-0.99vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.50-7.37vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.04vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-6.67vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.58-6.07vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.29-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.64Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.64Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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11.24Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.69Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.33Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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10.93Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.77Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Haley Powell | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Sky Adams | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 16.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.