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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+6.06vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.58+9.05vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.70vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+5.56vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.81+4.70vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+1.44vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+1.95vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-2.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23+2.39vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.13vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.66vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-1.79vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-5.01vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.50-8.25vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.92-6.63vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.34-5.14vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.29-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.05Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.7Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.44Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.95Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.79Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.39University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.21Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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8.99Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.75Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.86Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 16.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.