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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.66+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.70+1.35vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.21+1.15vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.12+0.38vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.49+0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.39-2.30vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.56-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Northwestern University1.6641.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Wisconsin0.7015.9%1st Place
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4.15Michigan State University0.219.5%1st Place
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4.38Marquette University-0.128.9%1st Place
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5.13Ohio State University-0.495.9%1st Place
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3.7University of Michigan0.3913.4%1st Place
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5.22Purdue University-0.565.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Smith | 41.2% | 29.8% | 16.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 15.9% | 18.7% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Dominique DeLano | 9.5% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 10.9% |
| Jenna Kozal | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 23.3% | 29.9% |
| Christiana Scheibner | 13.4% | 16.0% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 6.7% |
| Camille Imbler | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 21.4% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.