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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.91+8.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+5.60vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+3.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+2.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.74vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.35-0.61vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+0.26vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.50-2.92vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.29+1.09vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.43-0.23vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.81-3.45vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.58-3.59vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.01vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-3.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.39vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.55Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.94Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.1Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.6Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.39Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.26Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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7.08Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.77Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.55Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.61U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.55Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaye Siemers | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Haley Powell | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 15.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 16.4% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.