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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+1.60vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.05+1.26vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.63+1.36vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.49+0.23vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.54-1.08vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.60-1.72vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.28-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6University of Wisconsin0.3632.0%1st Place
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3.26University of Michigan0.0520.0%1st Place
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4.36Marquette University-0.639.2%1st Place
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4.23Purdue University-0.4910.3%1st Place
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3.92Northwestern University-0.5413.2%1st Place
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4.28Michigan State University-0.6010.6%1st Place
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5.35University of Illinois-1.284.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 32.0% | 24.1% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 20.0% | 17.8% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Eva Paschke | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| Nok In Chan | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 12.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.4% |
| Kate Crannell | 10.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 16.4% |
| Bahda Hoang | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 18.8% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.