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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+6.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+5.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.95vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+3.43vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+5.62vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+3.35vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.99+1.92vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+3.61vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.51-2.34vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.57vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.23-1.01vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-5.00vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.29-3.06vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-5.89vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.14vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.0Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.95Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.43Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.0Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.94Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.11Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.24Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Sky Adams | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% |
| Haley Powell | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.