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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+6.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+5.14vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.92+6.55vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+3.87vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.74+4.07vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.68vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+2.67vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-1.58vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-3.47vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.29+0.29vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-1.79vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.91-4.97vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-3.30vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.88-6.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-4.66vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.50-11.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.62Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.67Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.71Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.42Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.53Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.29Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.21Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.03Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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11.7Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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6.61Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.6% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 16.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 12.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 16.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.