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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.36+1.56vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.54+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.05+0.18vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.63+0.33vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-0.49-0.80vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-0.60-1.75vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois-1.33-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Wisconsin0.3631.6%1st Place
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4.03Northwestern University-0.5411.8%1st Place
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3.18University of Michigan0.0519.8%1st Place
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4.33Marquette University-0.6310.0%1st Place
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4.2Purdue University-0.4911.9%1st Place
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4.25Michigan State University-0.6010.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Illinois-1.335.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Tegeder | 31.6% | 24.9% | 17.6% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 10.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 19.8% | 20.5% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% |
| Eva Paschke | 10.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 19.3% | 14.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 11.9% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 13.9% |
| Kate Crannell | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 12.8% |
| Katie Benstead | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.5% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.