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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+8.44vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.74+8.28vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+4.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+2.76vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.48+1.87vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.51+0.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.72vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.58+2.67vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18-0.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.82-1.17vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34+0.10vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.29-1.20vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.23-2.13vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.91-5.75vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.99-7.04vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-5.42vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.81-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.28Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.76Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.67Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.83Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.1Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.8Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.25Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.58Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.9% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 15.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 14.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.6% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.