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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+8.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.97vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+4.60vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+5.17vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+1.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+0.92vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+3.09vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+1.18vs Predicted
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9Columbia University2.43+2.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.24vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.11vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-1.87vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-2.40vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.23-2.84vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.58-5.15vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.99-7.93vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.34-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.97Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.17Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.92Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.09Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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11.37Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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10.13Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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7.99Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.6Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.16University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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10.85Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.07University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Haley Powell | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 14.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.