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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+6.11vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+7.92vs Predicted
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3Cornell University3.35+4.60vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+5.20vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+5.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81+3.72vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+4.74vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.51-1.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.68vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.43vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-2.69vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.48-4.73vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.88-3.73vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.99-6.10vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.74-5.91vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-5.44vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.92Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.2Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.62Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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11.74Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.73Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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9.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.09Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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11.56Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Haley Powell | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 13.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.