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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.80+2.05vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.49+1.59vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.29-1.97vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.85+1.37vs Predicted
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7University of Illinois0.32-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-2.05+1.36vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.71-1.79vs Predicted
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10Western Michigan University-1.73-1.23vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University-1.71-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79University of Saint Thomas0.8816.7%1st Place
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4.05University of Notre Dame0.8014.9%1st Place
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4.59Michigan State University0.4910.6%1st Place
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3.92Michigan Technological University0.9613.9%1st Place
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3.03University of Michigan1.2925.8%1st Place
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7.37Grand Valley State University-0.852.5%1st Place
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4.95University of Illinois0.329.4%1st Place
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9.36University of Iowa-2.050.9%1st Place
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7.21Hope College-0.712.8%1st Place
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8.77Western Michigan University-1.731.8%1st Place
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8.96Michigan Technological University-1.710.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 16.7% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Thuente | 14.9% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Miller | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Michels | 13.9% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Billy Vogel | 25.8% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 20.3% | 12.4% | 5.2% |
| Clark Davis | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 23.5% | 38.8% |
| Jack Bergman | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 4.5% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 19.6% | 24.0% | 23.4% |
| Avie Krauss | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 24.8% | 27.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.