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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.81+8.95vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.92+7.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+6.96vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+2.82vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+1.77vs Predicted
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6Columbia University2.43+5.39vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+3.05vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+0.07vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.91+0.26vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.35-2.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-2.68vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.41vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.29-2.34vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.58-4.27vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-4.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.23-4.67vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.88-8.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.96Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.39Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.26Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.9Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.33University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Russom | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Haley Powell | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 13.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 14.8% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 17.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.