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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+2.82vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.49+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.29+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.80+0.03vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.32-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-2.05+3.32vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.96-3.07vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.71+0.90vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.71-1.97vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.66vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.73-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82University of Saint Thomas0.8816.9%1st Place
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4.71Michigan State University0.4911.2%1st Place
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3.06University of Michigan1.2926.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Notre Dame0.8014.8%1st Place
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4.96University of Illinois0.328.1%1st Place
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9.32University of Iowa-2.051.0%1st Place
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3.93Michigan Technological University0.9614.1%1st Place
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8.9Michigan Technological University-1.711.1%1st Place
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7.03Hope College-0.713.3%1st Place
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7.34Grand Valley State University-0.852.5%1st Place
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8.89Western Michigan University-1.731.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 16.9% | 16.8% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Miller | 11.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Billy Vogel | 26.0% | 20.5% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Thuente | 14.8% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Clark Davis | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gartlan | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 38.6% |
| Andrew Michels | 14.1% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 25.1% | 26.1% |
| Jack Bergman | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 12.8% | 5.9% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 10.1% | 18.8% | 26.4% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.