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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.88+8.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+4.95vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.08vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.82+5.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.51+1.81vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+4.76vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18+1.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.65vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.91+0.28vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.92-0.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-1.10vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-4.23vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.34-1.47vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.34vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-4.98vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-3.69vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-4.91vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-6.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.95Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.61Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.28Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.77Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.02Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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12.09Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.18Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sky Adams | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.2% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Haley Powell | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 17.3% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 15.2% |
| Irene Jacqz | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.