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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.50+2.10vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.17+2.36vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.56+1.75vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.36+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.01vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.43-1.14vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.65-1.72vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.46-1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-2.51-0.28vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-3.09-0.51vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Michigan0.5023.3%1st Place
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4.36Michigan Technological University-0.1713.7%1st Place
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4.75Michigan State University-0.5612.0%1st Place
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4.58Grand Valley State University-0.3611.8%1st Place
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3.99University of Saint Thomas-0.0315.8%1st Place
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4.86University of Notre Dame-0.4310.0%1st Place
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5.28Hope College-0.657.8%1st Place
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6.9Western Michigan University-1.463.6%1st Place
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8.72University of Iowa-2.511.2%1st Place
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9.49University of Illinois-3.090.7%1st Place
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9.98Saginaw Valley State University-3.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian Stone | 23.3% | 21.7% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Cecilia Dietsch | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Eva Rossell | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Reid Kwiatkowski | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Rakesh Dhiman | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Jack O'Connor | 10.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Edmund Redman | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Abigale Airo | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 22.4% | 20.4% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
Maggie Lennon | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 28.0% | 29.8% | 13.5% |
Arseniy Titov | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 31.7% | 33.4% |
Morgan Lovegrove | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 11.0% | 25.4% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.