← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.50+6.09vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.48+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.51+4.00vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.99+4.85vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.63vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University3.35+1.44vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.18+1.17vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.29+3.88vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.23+3.25vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University2.92-0.50vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.81-1.15vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.15vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University2.43-1.78vs Predicted
-
14Eckerd College2.91-5.00vs Predicted
-
15Boston University2.74-5.05vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.34-4.14vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College2.58-6.09vs Predicted
-
18Brown University2.82-8.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.09Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.05Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.0Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.85University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.44Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
8.17Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
11.88Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
12.25University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
9.5Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.85Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
-
9.85U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
11.22Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
9.0Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
-
9.95Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
11.86Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
10.91Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.5Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% |
| Chloe Lepert | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.7% |
| Haley Powell | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Sky Adams | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.