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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.56+0.59vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University0.12+0.12vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.59+0.89vs Predicted
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4Williams College-2.28+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-0.13vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.57-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Boston University0.5656.3%1st Place
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2.12Wesleyan University0.1229.1%1st Place
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3.89Middlebury College-1.595.2%1st Place
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4.66Williams College-2.282.3%1st Place
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4.87University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.512.4%1st Place
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3.87Fairfield University-1.574.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Monaghan | 56.3% | 31.8% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aubree Gottesman | 29.1% | 41.0% | 20.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Anna Baker | 5.2% | 9.2% | 22.7% | 28.2% | 23.2% | 11.5% |
| rebecca power | 2.3% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 17.8% | 31.2% | 31.8% |
| Sara Donahue | 2.4% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 24.3% | 44.0% |
| Thomas Raynor | 4.8% | 9.0% | 24.9% | 29.6% | 19.1% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.