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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.07+5.87vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.87+5.43vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.99+3.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.78-0.08vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.11+0.80vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36-1.03vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.14+1.78vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.56-3.63vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.72-0.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.56-6.45vs Predicted
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13Brandeis University0.55+0.58vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.58-2.59vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.29-8.82vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.19-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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5.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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4.92Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.97Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.140.0%1st Place
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5.37Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.99University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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5.55Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.58Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.41Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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12.13Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Saunders | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| David Alfonso | 8.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Santangelo | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Christian Manchester | 14.1% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 11.0% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryant Dunn | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 9.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 11.0% | 20.9% | 51.6% |
| Tom Charpentier | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 12.5% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 24.0% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.