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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University-0.36+3.52vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.43+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.50+0.03vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.31vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.56-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.94vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.65-1.68vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.46-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-3.09+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-2.51-1.34vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Grand Valley State University-0.3612.7%1st Place
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4.91University of Notre Dame-0.4310.8%1st Place
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3.03University of Michigan0.5024.1%1st Place
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4.31Michigan Technological University-0.1712.8%1st Place
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4.74Michigan State University-0.5610.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Saint Thomas-0.0315.9%1st Place
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5.32Hope College-0.657.3%1st Place
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6.97Western Michigan University-1.463.5%1st Place
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9.45University of Illinois-3.090.9%1st Place
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8.66University of Iowa-2.511.5%1st Place
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10.03Saginaw Valley State University-3.550.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 12.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack O'Connor | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Stone | 24.1% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 12.8% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Rossell | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 15.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Abigale Airo | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 22.8% | 20.2% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 33.3% | 31.4% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 12.5% | 28.6% | 28.0% | 12.4% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 11.4% | 24.2% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.