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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+6.05vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.81+8.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.35+3.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+1.78vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+0.88vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+2.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.29+3.85vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.82+0.64vs Predicted
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10Columbia University2.43+1.63vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.58-0.12vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.92-2.33vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.00vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.99-5.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-3.69vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.91-7.57vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.74-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.05Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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7.39Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.85Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.64Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.63Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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10.88Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.0Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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11.69Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.43Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
| Sky Adams | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 17.2% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.