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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.65+4.14vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.36+2.56vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.50+0.11vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.04vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.46+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-0.43-2.15vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.56-3.28vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-3.09+0.47vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-0.15vs Predicted
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11University of Iowa-3.00-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Hope College-0.659.4%1st Place
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4.56Grand Valley State University-0.3611.3%1st Place
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3.11University of Michigan0.5024.7%1st Place
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4.26Michigan Technological University-0.1712.8%1st Place
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3.96University of Saint Thomas-0.0315.4%1st Place
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6.83Western Michigan University-1.463.9%1st Place
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4.85University of Notre Dame-0.4310.2%1st Place
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4.72Michigan State University-0.5610.3%1st Place
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9.47University of Illinois-3.090.4%1st Place
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9.85Saginaw Valley State University-3.550.4%1st Place
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9.24University of Iowa-3.001.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Edmund Redman | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Reid Kwiatkowski | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Adrian Stone | 24.7% | 20.2% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Cecilia Dietsch | 12.8% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Rakesh Dhiman | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Abigale Airo | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 27.4% | 17.7% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
Jack O'Connor | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Eva Rossell | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Arseniy Titov | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 23.4% | 33.7% | 27.4% |
Morgan Lovegrove | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 15.2% | 25.9% | 46.5% |
Zachary Warren | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 8.4% | 24.4% | 30.8% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.