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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.35vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+4.96vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.91+6.56vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+6.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.39vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.72vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.92+2.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-1.16vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.34+2.78vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.99-1.90vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.51-4.82vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.43-1.83vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-6.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.02vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.23-3.72vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.81-7.10vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.29-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.96Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.56Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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9.72Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.22Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.78Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.18Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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11.17Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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7.18Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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9.9Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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11.79Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Sky Adams | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% |
| Haley Powell | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 6.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 17.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.