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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.50+2.01vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.65+3.30vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.03+0.92vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.31vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.36-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-0.43-1.20vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.56-2.28vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.46-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-3.09+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of Iowa-3.00-0.76vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.55-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of Michigan0.5027.5%1st Place
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5.3Hope College-0.658.4%1st Place
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3.92University of Saint Thomas-0.0315.0%1st Place
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4.31Michigan Technological University-0.1712.6%1st Place
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4.58Grand Valley State University-0.3611.4%1st Place
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4.8University of Notre Dame-0.439.7%1st Place
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4.72Michigan State University-0.5610.5%1st Place
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6.88Western Michigan University-1.463.2%1st Place
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9.39University of Illinois-3.090.6%1st Place
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9.24University of Iowa-3.000.7%1st Place
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9.86Saginaw Valley State University-3.550.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Stone | 27.5% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 15.0% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 12.6% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Kwiatkowski | 11.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack O'Connor | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eva Rossell | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Abigale Airo | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 25.1% | 17.6% | 7.3% | 1.3% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 22.4% | 32.8% | 27.0% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 25.7% | 30.9% | 23.7% |
| Morgan Lovegrove | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 14.8% | 25.7% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.