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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.75+7.50vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+5.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+2.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+4.92vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.23+1.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+0.25vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.47+2.46vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+0.34vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+0.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.97+1.64vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-2.99vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-4.21vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.52-0.22vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.01-6.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-3.13vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.30-2.17vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.09-5.95vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.19-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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7.62Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.46Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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8.34Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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8.01Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.83Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.05U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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16.23Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liz Dubovik | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Billing | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 3.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 8.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 22.1% | 15.6% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.