← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.10+0.48vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.48+1.36vs Predicted
-
3University of Central Florida-0.46+1.68vs Predicted
-
4The Citadel0.33-0.44vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida-0.31-0.47vs Predicted
-
6Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.47vs Predicted
-
7University of Georgia-1.51-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.48Jacksonville University2.1064.5%1st Place
-
3.36Jacksonville University0.4811.3%1st Place
-
4.68University of Central Florida-0.464.3%1st Place
-
3.56The Citadel0.339.6%1st Place
-
4.53University of South Florida-0.315.1%1st Place
-
5.53Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.3%1st Place
-
6.4University of Georgia-1.511.4%1st Place
-
6.46Embry-Riddle University-1.671.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Owen Bannasch | 64.5% | 25.9% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Joe Seiffert | 11.3% | 21.9% | 23.4% | 20.3% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Julian Larsen | 4.3% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 4.3% |
Andrew Tollefson | 9.6% | 18.9% | 23.2% | 20.4% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
Garrett Floerchinger | 5.1% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% |
Annslee Maloy | 2.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 15.4% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 26.2% | 35.8% |
Joseph McNaughton | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 22.7% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.