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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+4.64vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.58+4.90vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+2.28vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97+1.46vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.75+1.33vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71+0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.09+1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.52+3.25vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-4.42vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.47-2.28vs Predicted
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13Boston University0.19+3.23vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.51-5.04vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-7.17vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.97-4.51vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-5.01vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.9Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.46Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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6.58Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.72Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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16.23Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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7.83Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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13.6Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.6% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 19.6% | 10.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.6% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 59.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 5.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 21.5% | 13.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.