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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.46+2.64vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+0.35vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.31-0.45vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Georgia-1.51-0.67vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Jacksonville University2.1063.2%1st Place
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4.64University of Central Florida-0.464.5%1st Place
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3.35Jacksonville University0.4810.8%1st Place
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3.53The Citadel0.3310.8%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida-0.315.2%1st Place
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5.59Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.6%1st Place
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6.33University of Georgia-1.511.7%1st Place
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6.52Embry-Riddle University-1.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 63.2% | 26.5% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.5% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Joe Seiffert | 10.8% | 23.8% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 10.8% | 19.1% | 22.0% | 20.1% | 14.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.2% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.6% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 22.8% | 14.8% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.7% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 24.6% | 33.7% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 14.0% | 23.4% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.