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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+6.68vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+5.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.01+4.47vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.23+2.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29+0.20vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83+4.92vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.19+8.27vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.51+0.22vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-1.42vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.52+2.10vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.47-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.97-1.78vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-5.71vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.30-1.31vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.85-8.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.09-5.94vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.58-9.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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16.27Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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9.78Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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8.29Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.69Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.94Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.06U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 5.5% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 60.9% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 10.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 22.6% | 13.3% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.