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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.48+2.37vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.33+1.55vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.10-1.52vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of Central Florida-0.46-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia-1.51+0.42vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.31-2.44vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Jacksonville University0.4811.5%1st Place
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3.55The Citadel0.339.6%1st Place
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1.48Jacksonville University2.1064.2%1st Place
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5.5Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.6%1st Place
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4.69University of Central Florida-0.464.9%1st Place
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6.42University of Georgia-1.511.2%1st Place
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4.56University of South Florida-0.314.3%1st Place
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6.44Embry-Riddle University-1.671.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Seiffert | 11.5% | 22.4% | 23.2% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.6% | 20.4% | 22.6% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 64.2% | 26.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 21.2% | 14.2% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.9% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 17.6% | 14.7% | 4.7% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.2% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 24.2% | 36.4% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 4.3% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.