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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.46+2.68vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.48+0.27vs Predicted
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4The Citadel0.33-0.45vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+0.55vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.31-1.50vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.67-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Jacksonville University2.1061.9%1st Place
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4.68University of Central Florida-0.464.0%1st Place
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3.27Jacksonville University0.4811.8%1st Place
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3.55The Citadel0.3310.5%1st Place
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5.55Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.8%1st Place
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4.5University of South Florida-0.315.7%1st Place
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6.5Embry-Riddle University-1.671.3%1st Place
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6.4University of Georgia-1.511.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 61.9% | 25.6% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.0% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 11.8% | 24.6% | 22.9% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 10.5% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Annslee Maloy | 2.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 21.1% | 22.8% | 14.8% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.7% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 3.8% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 23.5% | 38.9% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.