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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+7.68vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.75+6.53vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+3.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+3.84vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.47+4.32vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+3.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.97+0.43vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98-0.63vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-1.78vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.23-3.30vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.97+0.49vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+0.22vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.09-2.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.38vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.51-5.78vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.52-2.91vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-3.19vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.19-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.53Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.84Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.32Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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12.22Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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5.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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13.09University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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13.81Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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16.23Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Emily Billing | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 5.6% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 10.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 21.7% | 14.6% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.