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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+0.46vs Predicted
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2The Citadel0.33+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Georgia-1.51+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of Central Florida-0.46+0.67vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.48-1.59vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.31-2.43vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.67-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Jacksonville University2.1066.2%1st Place
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3.5The Citadel0.339.2%1st Place
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6.42University of Georgia-1.511.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Central Florida-0.464.0%1st Place
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3.41Jacksonville University0.489.9%1st Place
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5.49Florida Institute of Technology-0.993.3%1st Place
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4.57University of South Florida-0.315.1%1st Place
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6.48Embry-Riddle University-1.671.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 66.2% | 24.2% | 7.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 9.2% | 22.4% | 21.9% | 19.8% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Trimble | 1.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 23.9% | 36.8% |
| Julian Larsen | 4.0% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 20.0% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| Joe Seiffert | 9.9% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 20.6% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Annslee Maloy | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 14.5% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 5.1% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 11.2% | 4.8% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 26.4% | 37.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.