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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+0.91vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.01+1.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.38+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.38+0.61vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08+0.80vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University-0.79-0.95vs Predicted
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7Bates College-1.72-0.53vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.97-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-2.26-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Northwestern University1.4945.6%1st Place
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3.69Northeastern University0.0112.7%1st Place
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3.06Brown University0.3820.0%1st Place
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4.61University of New Hampshire-0.387.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.4%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University-0.795.3%1st Place
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6.47Bates College-1.722.6%1st Place
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7.07Middlebury College-1.971.8%1st Place
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7.35University of New Hampshire-2.261.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 45.6% | 30.1% | 15.4% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 12.7% | 17.9% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Case | 20.0% | 20.9% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lund | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Kai Latham | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 7.6% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 20.5% | 21.6% | 16.2% |
| Aengus Onken | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 24.4% | 31.1% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 20.8% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.