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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.56+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.87+5.39vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.11+3.70vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+1.78vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.99+2.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.78-1.23vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56-1.57vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36-1.99vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.55+4.44vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.14-0.13vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-4.73vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.07-4.83vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.72-1.91vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.58-2.69vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.19-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.39University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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4.77Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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5.43Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.01Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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13.44Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.87Northeastern University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.27Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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11.31Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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12.11Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pesch | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Santangelo | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Christian Manchester | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 50.8% |
| Bryant Dunn | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 4.2% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| George Saunders | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 11.0% |
| Tom Charpentier | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 21.1% | 10.6% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 24.9% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.