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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.10+0.52vs Predicted
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2University of Central Florida-0.46+2.63vs Predicted
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3The Citadel0.33+0.53vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida-0.31-0.45vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-0.35vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.67-0.53vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-1.51-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Jacksonville University2.1063.4%1st Place
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4.63University of Central Florida-0.465.0%1st Place
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3.53The Citadel0.3310.2%1st Place
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3.31Jacksonville University0.4811.8%1st Place
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4.55University of South Florida-0.314.8%1st Place
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5.65Florida Institute of Technology-0.992.1%1st Place
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6.47Embry-Riddle University-1.671.2%1st Place
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6.33University of Georgia-1.511.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Owen Bannasch | 63.4% | 24.6% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Julian Larsen | 5.0% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 12.2% | 5.0% |
Andrew Tollefson | 10.2% | 20.0% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
Joe Seiffert | 11.8% | 22.7% | 23.5% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Garrett Floerchinger | 4.8% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
Annslee Maloy | 2.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 20.5% | 22.6% | 16.7% |
Joseph McNaughton | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 23.1% | 39.1% |
Samuel Trimble | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 25.4% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.