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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+6.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.60vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+3.44vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+3.36vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+2.87vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+2.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.01+0.30vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.09+2.80vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.47+0.37vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.51-0.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.58-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.97-0.28vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83-1.23vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-8.40vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.19+1.37vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.75-7.65vs Predicted
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17Columbia University1.30-3.16vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.52-5.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.87Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.53Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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9.37Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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16.37Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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13.84Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.82University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 3.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 5.5% |
| Hanna Vincent | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 61.2% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 23.1% | 15.2% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.