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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+5.48vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+4.55vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+4.42vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+3.24vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.26vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.51+2.25vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.97+3.30vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-1.17vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.58-0.73vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-3.61vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.30+1.98vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.97-5.70vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.19+2.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.09-4.14vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-3.94vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.47-7.47vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.52-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.68Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.55Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.42Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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7.83Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.27Harvard University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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13.98Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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16.26Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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12.06Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.53Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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12.87University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 22.7% | 17.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 58.4% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 5.6% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.