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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.70+0.67vs Predicted
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2Florida International University0.52+1.14vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.44+0.06vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+0.92vs Predicted
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5The Citadel-1.52+1.10vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-1.24-0.37vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.83-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Georgia-2.49-0.44vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.60-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Jacksonville University1.7056.4%1st Place
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3.14Florida International University0.5214.3%1st Place
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3.06Jacksonville University0.4415.2%1st Place
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4.92Florida Institute of Technology-0.884.5%1st Place
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6.1The Citadel-1.521.9%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida-1.243.0%1st Place
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6.55Embry-Riddle University-1.831.6%1st Place
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7.56University of Georgia-2.490.9%1st Place
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6.37Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.602.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 56.4% | 26.5% | 11.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 14.3% | 23.6% | 24.4% | 19.3% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Barney | 15.2% | 23.4% | 26.5% | 18.5% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Mullray | 4.5% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Edwin McAlister | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 11.1% |
| Ochithya Fernando | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 5.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 19.6% |
| John Medlock | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 46.4% |
| Emma Launsby | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.