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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+6.81vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.98+4.06vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.53+4.74vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.97+5.56vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.75+2.10vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.83+4.28vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.56vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-1.32vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.29-5.12vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.47-2.91vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.09-2.67vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.97-6.80vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.01-8.00vs Predicted
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16Columbia University1.30-3.06vs Predicted
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17Boston University0.19-1.48vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.52-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.04Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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8.1Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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5.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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7.68Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.09Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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12.94Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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15.52Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 5.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Amy Baxter | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 22.9% | 14.5% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 60.7% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.