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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Patrick Igoe 54.1% 28.1% 11.8% 5.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Barney 15.6% 23.2% 26.9% 16.9% 10.0% 5.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Hudson Jenkins 16.1% 23.5% 22.9% 19.5% 10.5% 5.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Emma Launsby 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 8.7% 12.4% 15.2% 17.2% 20.8% 14.9%
Edwin McAlister 2.1% 4.0% 5.5% 9.4% 14.1% 15.3% 20.8% 18.2% 10.6%
Ochithya Fernando 2.6% 5.3% 8.6% 12.1% 16.7% 18.1% 16.6% 13.7% 6.2%
William Mullray 3.8% 7.6% 12.2% 16.3% 19.8% 17.4% 12.8% 7.3% 2.7%
Timothy Dolan 2.1% 3.5% 4.2% 7.3% 10.0% 14.0% 17.3% 21.9% 19.7%
John Medlock 1.2% 1.5% 3.0% 4.8% 5.5% 8.6% 12.2% 17.4% 45.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.