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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+5.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.07vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.47+5.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+4.17vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.75+2.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.35vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29-1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.09+2.14vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.85-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.97+0.70vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.53-2.11vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.30-0.04vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.52-1.60vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-3.61vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.98-8.97vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-10.04vs Predicted
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18Boston University0.19-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.9Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.07Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.93Eckerd College2.470.0%1st Place
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8.17Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.92Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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7.7Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island1.970.0%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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12.96Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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11.39Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.96Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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15.53Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Norton | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 21.8% | 15.3% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 10.7% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 4.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 60.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.