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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+3.65vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+2.70vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.87+4.32vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.43+2.72vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.13vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.45+1.15vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.07+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.09-0.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.64-2.87vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42-3.32vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-4.08vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.40vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota-0.49-0.94vs Predicted
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14The Citadel1.22-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Webb Institute1.7315.8%1st Place
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4.7Roger Williams University2.0914.2%1st Place
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7.32Princeton University1.877.0%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University1.437.8%1st Place
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6.13Brown University1.699.3%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College1.456.7%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University1.075.1%1st Place
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7.79University of Wisconsin1.095.4%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Naval Academy1.649.5%1st Place
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6.68University of Rhode Island1.427.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.8%1st Place
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11.6SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.7%1st Place
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12.06University of Minnesota-0.490.9%1st Place
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9.19The Citadel1.222.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 15.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Stokke | 14.2% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Jack Flores | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Quinn | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 23.5% | 37.3% |
| Tiernan O'Kane | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 22.4% | 43.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.