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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.78+3.73vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+3.15vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.07+2.92vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+0.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.11+0.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.56-1.60vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.87-0.45vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.99-1.90vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.58+1.33vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-4.93vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut1.72-0.83vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.14-3.03vs Predicted
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15Brandeis University0.55-1.62vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.19-3.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Boston College3.780.2%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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5.51Boston University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.82Dartmouth College3.110.1%1st Place
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5.4Tufts University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island2.870.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University2.990.1%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College1.580.0%1st Place
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6.07Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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11.17University of Connecticut1.720.0%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University2.140.0%1st Place
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13.38Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.15Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Manchester | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| George Saunders | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hughes | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Colin Santangelo | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Tom Charpentier | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 12.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Presti | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 13.8% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 9.4% |
| Bryant Dunn | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 4.6% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 49.4% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 24.6% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.