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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.01+2.69vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49-0.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.38+0.08vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.79+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.45vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.97+1.08vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-2.26+0.45vs Predicted
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8Bates College-1.72-1.47vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.08-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Northeastern University0.0112.8%1st Place
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1.91Northwestern University1.4946.1%1st Place
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3.08Brown University0.3818.9%1st Place
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5.03Salve Regina University-0.795.8%1st Place
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4.55University of New Hampshire-0.387.2%1st Place
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7.08Middlebury College-1.972.4%1st Place
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7.45University of New Hampshire-2.261.3%1st Place
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6.53Bates College-1.722.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.083.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Cho | 12.8% | 16.8% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Shea Smith | 46.1% | 30.5% | 13.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 18.9% | 22.8% | 22.6% | 15.7% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Sean Lund | 7.2% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Aengus Onken | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 15.6% | 24.9% | 30.6% |
| Gavin Tucker | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 22.0% | 40.7% |
| Colin Kenny | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 17.8% |
| Kai Latham | 3.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.